Weather! There’s change on the way

The great weather we’ve had for the last week is, unfortunately, on its way out. There’s a slight cooldown coming, and some rain on the way, too.

The clear skies we had seen most of last week were replaced on Sunday with lots of high, wispy, cirrus clouds. Cirrus clouds are an indicator of changing weather, and a change is exactly what’s in store for us this week.

The source of this change is a rapidly-developing area of low pressure off the coast of Daytona Beach, Florida. So far, this system has been responsible for wind gusts nearing 70 mph in some places along the coast. The storm, however, does not have enough characteristics to be classified as tropical. This may be named as a subtropical storm – an area of low pressure with some tropical and non-tropical characteristics; however, as of this writing early Monday morning, the National Hurricane Center has stated that the system has a 20% chance of becoming a subtropical cyclone. If it develops, it will be named Subtropical Storm Rina.

Named or not, this storm will be our primary weathermaker for the first part of this week. Expect continued cloudy skies on Monday, even as the area of high pressure that’s been bringing us such great weather over the last week spends one more day in our vicinity. Temperatures will climb into the upper 70s despite the cloudcover. As winds turn from the northeast and the east, humidity will increase as well. We’ll stay dry today, and temperatures will drop into the upper 50s tonight.

The clouds will fill in even more on Tuesday morning. Look for some rain showers to fill in starting in the morning hours as the ridge weakens and moves into the Atlantic, allowing the low to slide up the coast. Temperatures will struggle to make it to 70 as the precip continues to move into the region through the afternoon. Dry air in the lower levels of the atmosphere will keep rain showers somewhat patchy through the afternoon and evening. Low temperatures Tuesday night stay relatively mild with the cloudcover and rain in the air, dropping only into the low 60s.

Our rain chances will only get better by the middle of the week, as the low continues its slow progression along the east coast. Temperatures will stay pretty mild, keeping in the 60s to near 70 through the middle of the week. A cold front swings through the area later this week, as high pressure and cooler temps build back in by the weekend.

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Weather Dan

Dan Goff is now a two-time former Richmonder, having departed the River City yet again in favor of southwest Virginia, where he is working on degrees in geography and meteorology at Virginia Tech. Have a question about the weather or weather-related phenomena?

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