Weather! Singin’ in the Rain edition

“Wet” is going to be the story of the week this week. We are 0.88″ short of the year-to-date average as of midnight, and the next 72 hours should see that number diminish greatly. We picked up 0.72″ of rain from thunderstorms on Wednesday and Friday, which made a healthy dent in our annual rainfall deficit, but these next three days should eradicate it completely.

“Wet” is going to be the story of the week this week. We are 0.88” short of the year-to-date average as of midnight, and the next 72 hours should see that number diminish greatly. We picked up 0.72” of rain from thunderstorms on Wednesday and Friday, which made a healthy dent in our annual rainfall deficit, but these next three days should eradicate it completely.

Speaking of Friday’s storms, if you didn’t already, make sure you take a minute to check out the lightning photos submitted to the RVANews Flickr Pool from some of our very talented readers. Thanks for the submissions!

The Hydrometeorological Prediction Center is forecasting rainfall amounts of greater than 2” in some locations; Richmond is looking at rainfall totals of at least 1.5” over the next three days.

Hydrometeorological Prediction Center 05172010 1200Z Days 1-3 QPF Forecast

Most of this rain should fall through Monday, as an area of low pressure moves along a stationary front draped across northern North Carolina. The rain today will be pretty constant, with some small areas of variability with regard to intensity and amounts. Temperatures today won’t move much from where they are currently, near 60 degrees. They’ll drop off a little overnight, to near 55, but there won’t be much noticeable change.

The rain finally breaks up into Tuesday morning; the low pressure system will be moving offshore through the morning hours, keeping the clouds around but lowering the rain chances slightly. Showers tomorrow become more sporadic tomorrow, but the clouds stick around, depressing temperatures yet again. Highs Tuesday will inch closer to, but likely not reach, 70. Mostly cloudy skies continue into Tuesday night, with lows in the mid 50s.

Squirrelcast (vs. Erie, 7:05pm): This has the potential to be a soggy series, though the rain threat diminishes after Tuesday. Mostly cloudy with the chance for scattered rain showers at first pitch, with temperatures in the mid 60s. Post-game temperatures will be near 60.

The mostly cloudy pattern will continue into midweek, with the chances for rain lingering, but diminishing, after Tuesday. I’ll have a new forecast for midweek, and the remainder of the Flying Squirrels’ series with Erie on Wednesday.

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Weather Dan

Dan Goff is now a two-time former Richmonder, having departed the River City yet again in favor of southwest Virginia, where he is working on degrees in geography and meteorology at Virginia Tech. Have a question about the weather or weather-related phenomena?

Notice: Comments that are not conducive to an interesting and thoughtful conversation may be removed at the editor’s discretion.

  1. Dan, I have 30 high school kids coming to VCU for a chemical engineering activity on Wednesday. Should I prepare the outdoor baking soda & vinegar rockets activity, the indoor biggest bubble activity, or both? Rockets are the preferred outcome, but what odds am I looking at? The meeting is 6:00-7:30 p.m.

  2. Right now, I’d plan both. Wednesday’s looking pretty dry (relatively speaking), but I’m hedging my bets and saying we may not totally be done with the rain on Wednesday. There’s the chance for a stray shower that evening that may ground your aspiring rocketeers.

  3. Rats. Well, luckily all the ingredients for both can be used to clean my house if they don’t become SCIENCE! Thanks Dan!

  4. We did the outdoor rockets activity. Thanks Dan, I know you worked hard getting that weather for me! What is Richmond going to do without you?

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