Some of the thicker clouds are already beginning to clear out over the area this morning, and temperatures are on their way to the upper 80s by this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has placed us in the slight risk category for today.
As an update to one of my May Ask Weather Dan columns, The VORTEX2 project wrapped up field work on Tuesday, marking the end of the second year of the two year field research project. It’s hard to summarize their accomplishments in limited space here, but I recommend taking a look at Karen Kosiba’s blog for an accurate summary of the VORTEX2 experience. If you want to get an idea of exactly how much they traveled during the project, take a look at this excellent Google Map created by Patrick Marsh.
In the tropics, Invest 92L hasn’t developed as much as many had hoped, and is now only given a 10% chance for development over the next 48 hours. The system is moving into a region with higher wind shear and drier air, which will help to further suppress development. We’ll have to wait a little bit longer to see Tropical Storm Alex.
As for Wednesday, some of the thicker clouds are already beginning to clear out over the area this morning, and temperatures are on their way to the upper 80s by this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has placed us in the slight risk category for today. A warm front is crossing the area this afternoon, following by cold front approaching from the mountains overnight will be the trigger for any showers or storms that we see through tonight; damaging wind and possibly some hail will be the primary threats with any storms that do form. This afternoon will be especially tricky, but i think we’ll see at least some rain showers across the region as the front moves through.
Overnight, the chance of rain showers continues as the cold front passes through. Temperatures tonight will fall into the lower 70s.
Wednesday Squirrelcast (7:05pm, vs. Binghamton): The threat of rain and an isolated thunderstorm continues into this evening. First pitch temperature will be in the low 80s, dropping only into the mid 70s by game end.
The good news is that once this cold front clears the area on Thursday, dry air will move into the area, ending the rain threat and bringing back mostly sunny skies. Temperatures will again climb back into the low 90s, falling into the upper 60s overnight.
Thursday Squirrelcast (7:05pm, vs. Binghamton): First pitch temperature will be in the low 80s, dropping to the low 70s by game’s end. No chance of anything but mostly clear skies for the evening.
The warm and clear pattern continues for Friday. I’ll have a full weekend forecast then.